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Fan site for the UK TV quiz show The Chase.
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Statistics - Head-To-Heads

Statistics on this page are for daytime episodes of The Chase only. A few statistics for Celebrity Specials and The Family Chase can be found in their respective sections of the website.

For percentages where the chaser is in direct competition with the player/team, coloured backgrounds are used. This page shows percentages from the point of view of the player/team. Any percentages of 50% and over are coloured blue - 100% is a deep blue, and the nearer it gets to 50% the lighter the colour becomes. Any percentages of less than 50% are coloured red - 0% is a deep red, and the nearer it gets to 50% the lighter the colour becomes.

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Players Winning Head-to-head By Series

Series
No. Of
Episodes
No. Of Players Winning Head-to-head
% Players
Winning
0 1 2 3 4
1 10 1 0 4 4 1 60%
2 40 0 8 11 16 5 61%
3 40 1 6 15 14 4 59%
4 60 2 13 23 14 8 55%
5 119 4 17 39 46 13 60%
6 148 8 25 62 44 9 54%
7 150 2 26 51 47 24 61%
8 146 1 21 56 44 24 62%
9 189 5 24 66 64 30 62%
10 190 6 26 66 70 22 60%
11 170 6 21 71 49 23 59%
12 170 5 22 55 59 29 63%
13 210 6 26 91 62 25 59%
14 210 3 24 74 88 21 62%
15 209 5 21 69 82 32 64%
16 158 1 17 54 56 30 65%
17 154 11 22 49 52 20 58%
18 17 1 2 6 6 2 59%
ALL 2390 68 321 862 817 322 61%

Head-To-Head Option Chosen By Series

In series 1 and 2, the lower offers were more generous than they are now, so more players took this offer. For series 10 onwards, almost half of the teams have all gone for the middle offer. Hoping that more players in the final chase will help them to beat the chaser.

Series
No. Of
Episodes
% Players Taking ...
% Teams All Taking
Middle Offer
Lower Offer Middle Offer Higher Offer
1 10 23% 68% 10% 20%
2 40 16% 74% 10% 28%
3 40 10% 75% 15% 33%
4 60 11% 77% 12% 28%
5 119 12% 72% 16% 27%
6 148 13% 72% 15% 31%
7 150 13% 75% 12% 33%
8 146 11% 78% 11% 37%
9 189 9% 78% 13% 38%
10 190 7% 83% 10% 47%
11 170 5% 82% 13% 48%
12 170 7% 83% 10% 48%
13 210 7% 82% 11% 45%
14 210 10% 81% 9% 45%
15 209 11% 83% 7% 49%
16 158 18% 74% 9% 32%
17 154 17% 71% 11% 28%
18 17 10% 79% 10% 53%
ALL 2390 11% 78% 11% 39%

% Players Winning Head-To-Head By Offer Chosen

  Offer Chosen ALL
Lower Offer Middle Offer Higher Offer
No. Of Head-To-Heads 1013 7483 1064 9560
Player Wins 738 4617 429 5784
Player Win % 73% 62% 40% 61%

% Players Winning Head-To-Head By Cash Builder

Not surprisingly, there is a good correlation between cash builder score, and the percentage of players winning their head-to-head. There are a few oddities though - none more so than the bottom 3 rows. Only 4 of the 9 players to score £12,000 or more in their cash builder went on to win their head-to-head.

Cash
Builder
No. Of
Players
% Players Winning Head-To-Head
Lower Offer Middle Offer Higher Offer ALL
£0 43 50% 41% 11% 30%
£1,000 225 62% 43% 24% 44%
£2,000 661 71% 45% 40% 51%
£3,000 1226 71% 56% 33% 56%
£4,000 1824 73% 58% 39% 57%
£5,000 1906 74% 61% 35% 59%
£6,000 1687 80% 66% 47% 65%
£7,000 1134 82% 68% 46% 66%
£8,000 552 58% 74% 49% 70%
£9,000 207 100% 74% 74% 76%
£10,000 70 100% 69% 56% 69%
£11,000 16 100% 85% 50% 81%
£12,000 7   57%   57%
£13,000 1   0%   0%
£14,000 1   0%   0%

% Chasers Winning Head-To-Head By Offer Chosen

  Offer Chosen ALL
Lower Offer Middle Offer Higher Offer
Mark
Labbett
No. Of Head-To-Heads 216 1596 247 2059
Chaser Wins 57 594 145 796
Chaser Win % 26% 37% 59% 39%
Shaun
Wallace
No. Of Head-To-Heads 223 1515 225 1963
Chaser Wins 67 619 127 813
Chaser Win % 30% 41% 56% 41%
Anne
Hegerty
No. Of Head-To-Heads 203 1580 237 2020
Chaser Wins 60 614 151 825
Chaser Win % 30% 39% 64% 41%
Paul
Sinha
No. Of Head-To-Heads 197 1492 216 1905
Chaser Wins 53 558 116 727
Chaser Win % 27% 37% 54% 38%
Jenny
Ryan
No. Of Head-To-Heads 106 935 100 1141
Chaser Wins 24 339 67 430
Chaser Win % 23% 36% 67% 38%
Darragh
Ennis
No. Of Head-To-Heads 68 365 39 472
Chaser Wins 14 142 29 185
Chaser Win % 21% 39% 74% 39%
ALL No. Of Head-To-Heads 1013 7483 1064 9560
Chaser Wins 275 2866 635 3776
Chaser Win % 27% 38% 60% 39%

Note:

Likelihood Of Winning Head-To-Head By Position On Table

This table follows each player, question by question, on their journey at the table. It is for all players, regardless of what offer they have chosen. It shows how many steps they are from home, and how far behind the chaser is. eg. The first row shows how likely a player is to get home when they have 1 step to go for the chaser being 1 step behind, 2 steps behind, 3 steps behind and so on.

Generally, the player is the more likely to get home than not. Unless the chaser gets 1 step behind with at least 2 steps to go, or gets 2 steps behind with at least 4 steps to go.

Gap To Chaser
1 2 3 4 5 6
Steps
From
Home
1 65% 89% 96% 99% 99% 100%
2 45% 74% 89% 95% 96% 100%
3 31% 61% 80% 88% 89%  
4 24% 50% 70% 77% 100%  
5 18% 41% 62% 62%    
6 18% 40% 57%      
7   50%        

Note:

The One Question Shootout

Shaun's favourite part of the show - when the player is one step from home and the chaser is right behind them.

The first player to have a one question shootout was the first player on the very first episode. They lost it - to The Beast.

But when is a one question shootout not a one question shootout? When both player and chaser give the wrong answer and they have to do it again. Actually, 5.7% of one question shootouts require at least one further question to decide the outcome.

1st One
Question
Shootout
2nd One
Question
Shootout
3rd One
Question
Shootout
Overall
No. Of Players 2369 134 4 2369
Player Win % 61% 73% 100% 65%
Chaser Win % 34% 24% 0% 35%
Neither Wins % 6% 3%   n/a

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